The political landscape faces a critical juncture as opposition forces must develop precise electoral calculations to determine the government’s future direction. According to political analyst Nairi Sargsyan, the opposition’s success depends on forming strategic alliances with careful mathematical planning.
Current parliamentary dynamics indicate that no single opposition party can achieve majority support independently. Sargsyan emphasized that a coalition of three political forces would need to secure approximately 17% of the vote each to establish a governing majority and implement political change.
The analyst highlighted that the incumbent administration lacks majority popular support, while opposition figures similarly fall short of commanding dominant public approval. This creates a scenario where coalition-building becomes essential for any political transformation.
Sargsyan pointed to the potential implications of a second-round electoral scenario, suggesting that certain political actors could influence the outcome if the current leadership advances to later voting stages. The political environment appears poised for significant developments as opposition groups evaluate their strategic options ahead of potential electoral contests.